1/1/2018.
The Great Delusion: Liberal Dreams and International Realities
"The Great Delusion: Liberal Dreams and International Realities" by John J. Mearsheimer criticizes U.S. foreign policy post-Cold War, attributing its failures to the pursuit of "liberal hegemony"—the global spread of liberal democracy, open markets, and international institutions. Mearsheimer argues that this strategy is inherently flawed due to its conflict with nationalism and realism, both of which prioritize national interests and power over liberal ideals. He asserts that liberal hegemony leads to disastrous interventions and instability, advocating instead for a realist-based foreign policy emphasizing restraint and national interests. The book concludes that the United States should adapt to the emerging multipolar world by adopting a more pragmatic, restrained foreign policy approach.
1/1/1985.
Conventional Deterrence
"Conventional Deterrence" explores the intricate link between military strategy and the efficacy of deterrence in conventional warfare. The author distinguishes between deterrence through punishment, typically nuclear threats, and deterrence through denial, involving conventional forces, to deter aggressors by making battlefield objectives unachievable. By analyzing twelve historical instances, including the German invasions and Israeli-Arab conflicts, the book identifies patterns in decision-making that lead to deterrence failures or successes. It argues that powerful motives for war can drive nations to accept risks, while successful deterrence hinges on making war appear costly and protracted. The author concludes that while current forces in Central Europe favor NATO, constant vigilance is necessary to avoid surprise attacks.
1/1/2007.
The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy
"The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy," authored by John J. Mearsheimer and Stephen M. Walt, analyzes the powerful influence of the Israel lobby on U.S. policies in the Middle East. The book argues that this lobby significantly impacts U.S. interests, often to America's detriment, by ensuring unconditional support for Israel. This unwavering backing, say the authors, has fostered anti-American sentiment and hindered U.S. efforts to combat terrorism and resolve regional conflicts. They suggest that a more balanced U.S. policy could better serve American interests and potentially benefit Israel as well.
5/29/2024. The Spectator
John Mearsheimer on Ukraine, Gaza & escalation dominance | SpectatorTV
Freddie Gray and Professor John Mearsheimer discuss conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza, asserting the West's escalation mistakes and ineffective economic sanctions in Ukraine, and cautioning against further confrontation with Russia. Mearsheimer criticizes Israel's 2024 re-entry into Gaza, anticipating a costly and prolonged conflict, and noting Israel's weakened position against Hezbollah and Iran. He states that the US is overstretched in both conflicts, advising a strategic shift to containing China. Lastly, he critiques America's promotion of color revolutions, claiming they undermine liberal principles and often lead to instability.
1/1/2001.
The Tragedy of Great Power Politics
"The Tragedy of Great Power Politics" by John J. Mearsheimer argues that great powers are driven by a desire for regional hegemony, leading to perpetual security competition and conflict due to the anarchic international system. Mearsheimer emphasizes the primacy of land power and strategies like war and balancing to maintain dominance. The book contrasts offensive realism with defensive and human nature realism, asserting that the absence of central authority forces states to maximize power for survival. Mearsheimer foresees ongoing security threats, particularly from a rising China, challenging U.S. dominance. He advises the U.S. to contain China's growth rather than engage constructively.
1/1/2011.
Why Leaders Lie: The Truth about Lying in International Politics
In "Why Leaders Lie: The Truth about Lying in International Politics," John J. Mearsheimer examines the prevalence, forms, and impacts of lying in statecraft. He differentiates between strategic lies, which serve national interests, and selfish lies, which benefit individuals or groups. Mearsheimer discusses five key types of strategic lies, including inter-state lies, fearmongering, strategic cover-ups, nationalist mythmaking, and liberal lies, arguing that leaders often lie more to their own people than to rival states. He identifies fearmongering and strategic cover-ups as particularly dangerous, with potential to corrupt domestic politics and lead to foreign policy disasters. The book highlights the particular susceptibility of the United States to fearmongering due to its global ambitions.
1/1/2023.
How States Think: The Rationality of Foreign Policy
"How States Think," by John J. Mearsheimer and Sebastian Rosato, challenges the notion that states often act irrationally in international relations, arguing instead that they typically make rational decisions through credible theories and deliberation. The authors critique prevailing definitions of rationality, particularly from rational choice theorists and political psychologists, presenting ten case studies that illustrate rational decision-making. They emphasize that survival is the paramount goal of states, even over other objectives such as prosperity. The book's findings underscore the predictability and rationality of state behavior, providing significant implications for both academic theory and practical foreign policy.
9/25/2015. The University of Chicago
Why is Ukraine the West's Fault? Featuring John Mearsheimer
In his lecture "Why is Ukraine the West's Fault? Featuring John Mearsheimer," Professor John J. Mearsheimer of the University of Chicago argues that the West, particularly the United States, is primarily responsible for the Ukraine crisis. He contends that the West’s strategy to integrate Ukraine into its sphere through NATO and EU expansion, as well as promoting democracy, has threatened Russia, driving it to annex Crimea and support conflict in eastern Ukraine. Mearsheimer criticizes the view that Russian President Vladimir Putin is solely to blame, presenting him instead as reacting to Western policies. He cautions that escalating tensions could lead to a new Cold War and advocates for a neutral Ukraine to alleviate the conflict. Ultimately, Mearsheimer calls for a more nuanced approach that recognizes Russia's security concerns.
5/24/2023. Committee for the Republic
John Mearsheimer Ukraine Salon
The "John Mearsheimer Ukraine Salon" interview delves into the Ukraine war, with political scientist John Mearsheimer and Chairman John Henry discussing the conflict's causes, progression, and potential outcomes. Mearsheimer attributes the war to a strategic rivalry between Russia and the West, exacerbated by NATO and EU expansions, transforming Ukraine into an existential threat for Russia. He predicts a Russian victory due to artillery superiority, leading to Ukraine becoming a dysfunctional rump state, and criticizes the West's involvement as prolonging the conflict. Mearsheimer dismisses the feasibility of a peace agreement and underscores the need to address Russia's security concerns to avoid further escalation. He also reflects on realism in international relations, stressing its value while acknowledging its limitations.
7/30/2023. The Grayzone
John Mearsheimer: Ukraine war is a long-term danger
In the interview "John Mearsheimer: Ukraine war is a long-term danger," political science professor John Mearsheimer discusses the ongoing war in Ukraine, attributing the conflict to what he sees as Western, particularly US, miscalculations. He criticizes the push for Ukraine's NATO membership and ineffective sanctions against Russia. Mearsheimer argues that Western policies have incentivized Russia to continue the war, possibly extending conflict into Belarus or the Black Sea, and heightening the nuclear threat if Russia faces defeat. He warns of the grave and enduring impact on international relations, advocating for a cautious approach to avoid further escalation.
9/7/2023. CNN-News18
G20 Summit 2023 | Political Scientist John Mearsheimer Talks About India's G20 Presidency | News18
In "G20 Summit 2023 | Political Scientist John Mearsheimer Talks About India's G20 Presidency | News18," Professor John Mearsheimer notes that India's G20 summit faces profound economic and political fractures. He argues that the multipolarity rise, characterized by US-China rivalry and the Ukraine war, has deepened G20 tensions. The absence of Chinese and Russian leaders, driven by independent animosity towards the US, compounds these difficulties, making consensus unlikely. Mearsheimer credits India with balancing economic and political gains but expresses skepticism about meaningful progress on global issues due to intense security competition among major powers. Despite India's potential to foster civil discourse, achieving substantive agreements remains challenging.
9/9/2023. The Duran
An Endgame for the Ukrainian War w/ John Mearsheimer, Alexander Mercouris and Glenn Diesen
In the interview "An Endgame for the Ukrainian War w/ John Mearsheimer, Alexander Mercouris and Glenn Diesen," the participants discuss the Ukraine war, its strategic implications, and the possibility of a negotiated settlement. John Mearsheimer criticizes the West's overestimation of Ukrainian capabilities and highlights the doomed nature of the Ukrainian counteroffensive due to a power imbalance with Russia. Both Mearsheimer and Mercuris stress that any meaningful negotiation must address Russia's security concerns and potentially broader European security issues. They express pessimism about the future, citing the West's ideological stance and reluctance to recognize Russia's power and security interests. The discussion warns of the dangers posed by failing to engage in realistic diplomacy.
9/20/2023. CITIC CLSA
Director’s cut: John Mearsheimer
Renowned political scientist Professor John Mearsheimer discusses the transition from a unipolar world dominated by the US to a multipolar world with major powers including the US, China, and Russia. He argues that the US's efforts to prevent other countries from becoming regional hegemons are now focused on containing China's rise. Mearsheimer refutes the notion that Russia seeks regional dominance, arguing that its actions in Ukraine are a response to NATO expansion. He predicts continued conflict in Ukraine and intense US-China competition, particularly in economic and military spheres. He also expresses concern about the potential for significant violence in the polarized US political climate.
9/26/2023. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John J. Mearsheimer: Who Really Started Ukraine War?
In "Prof. John J. Mearsheimer: Who Really Started Ukraine War?" Professor John Mearsheimer argues that the West, mainly the United States, is principally to blame for the Ukraine war due to NATO's eastward expansion. He asserts that Western miscalculations, including sanctions and military aid to Ukraine, have backfired, prolonging the conflict and damaging Western European economies. Mearsheimer predicts Ukraine's defeat due to Russia's stronger military and anticipates Russia will gain more eastern territories. He criticizes the West's foreign policy for alienating other countries and contributing to a shift from a unipolar to a multipolar world. Mearsheimer also warns against the dangerous potential of direct US involvement in the conflict.
10/12/2023. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Origins of Hamas/Israeli War w/ John J. Mearsheimer
In "Origins of Hamas/Israeli War w/ John J. Mearsheimer," political scientist Professor John Mearsheimer discusses the recent Hamas attack on Israel, attributing the Israeli intelligence failure to overconfidence and reliance on AI. He critiques the complex dynamics between Hamas and the Palestinian Authority, noting Hamas's control over Gaza and opposition to a two-state solution. Mearsheimer also condemns the US's Middle East policies as counterproductive and self-serving. He believes that the US's decision to cut funding to Ukraine signals the end of the conflict, criticizing the US's involvement. Mearsheimer concludes with a pessimistic view on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, doubting the feasibility of a two-state solution and advising de-escalation, even though he sees it as politically unfeasible.
10/26/2023. Centre for Independent Studies
John Mearsheimer: Will Israel and Ukraine derail the US pivot to Asia
In "John Mearsheimer: Will Israel and Ukraine derail the US pivot to Asia," Professor John Mearsheimer discusses with Tom Switzer the effects of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and the war in Ukraine on the US's strategy to contain China. Mearsheimer criticizes the US's unconditional support for Israel and argues that a lack of pressure for a two-state solution has fueled current conflicts. He also attributes the war in Ukraine to NATO expansion, predicting a prolonged conflict resulting in Russia annexing parts of Ukraine. Mearsheimer suggests that US involvement in the Middle East and Ukraine distracts from focusing on China, inadvertently strengthening the Russia-China alliance. He believes Australia will align with the US against China despite economic ties with Beijing.
10/27/2023. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer: How the Israeli invasion of Gaza is hurting Israel?
John Mearsheimer, in an interview with Judge Andrew Napolitano on "Judging Freedom," argues that a full-scale Israeli invasion of Gaza would be disastrous, resulting in significant casualties and tarnishing Israel’s reputation. He attributes the conflict to Israel's longstanding treatment of Palestinians and criticizes Israel's disproportionate response, which he believes harms its image and complicates finding a solution. Mearsheimer also discusses President Biden's shift towards advocating a two-state solution and criticizes Israel's military tactics as violations of the laws of war. He warns of potential horizontal escalation involving Hezbollah and Iran and suggests that the conflict has damaged Israeli societal cohesion, predicting Netanyahu's eventual removal from power.
10/30/2023. Centre for Independent Studies
Israel-Hamas, Ukraine-Russia and China: John Mearsheimer on why the US is in serious trouble!
In the interview "Israel-Hamas, Ukraine-Russia and China: John Mearsheimer on why the US is in serious trouble!", political scientist John Mearsheimer argues that the United States is losing strategic focus by becoming entangled in the Ukraine war and Israeli-Palestinian conflict instead of concentrating on countering China's ascent in Asia. He highlights the transition to a multipolar world where China and Russia pose significant challenges to US dominance. Mearsheimer criticizes the US for expanding NATO eastward, antagonizing Russia, and warns about the potential for escalation in the Ukraine war. Additionally, he expresses concern about the Israel-Hamas conflict drawing the US further into the Middle East. Ultimately, Mearsheimer stresses the need for the US to refocus its strategy on containing China to safeguard its national interests.
11/3/2023. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer: Is diplomacy possible in Hamas/Israeli war?
In an interview, Professor John Mearsheimer discusses the complexities of the Israel-Hamas conflict, emphasizing the limited leverage the US has due to its strong alliance with Israel. He argues that the US's unwavering support for Israel exacerbates the conflict and negatively impacts Palestinian civilians. Mearsheimer predicts that international and domestic pressures will eventually lead Israel to scale back its operations, though he doubts a decisive victory for Israel. He considers the conflict intractable and cyclical, driven by the ongoing occupation and the aspirations of Palestinians. Mearsheimer also notes Russia and China's use of the situation to highlight US hypocrisy and bolster their positions globally, while the global south grows increasingly sympathetic to them.
11/9/2023. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John J. Mearsheimer: Ukraine/Israel: How China benefits.
In an interview titled "Prof. John J. Mearsheimer: Ukraine/Israel: How China benefits," political scientist John Mearsheimer discusses the shifting focus of the US from the Ukraine war to the Middle East following Hamas attacks on Israel. He argues that the US is prolonging the Ukraine war by supporting continued fighting despite no clear path to victory, and criticizes the likelihood of a $68 billion aid package being approved for Ukraine. On the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Mearsheimer asserts both sides have committed war crimes and criticizes Israel's disproportionate response, enabled by US military aid. He attributes the US's unwavering support for Israel to the influence of the Israel lobby, making a two-state solution increasingly unlikely. The interview highlights the adverse consequences of US foreign policy driven by domestic pressures in both conflicts.
11/11/2023. The Duran
US Military has Overextended Itself - John Mearsheimer, Alexander Mercouris and Glenn Diesen
In "US Military has Overextended Itself," experts discuss the geopolitical implications of ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East for US grand strategy, highlighting Russia's advancements in Ukraine and the potential for a negotiated settlement that would involve territorial concessions. They discuss the complexities and intractability of the Middle East conflict, pointing out the US's difficult position and the risk of widening conflict involving multiple regional actors. The experts also note that the crises are forcing the US to moderate its stance toward China, which is capitalizing on the situation to gain diplomatic leverage. They stress the urgent need for pragmatic diplomacy and compromises to stabilize the global landscape and address multiple crises effectively.
11/17/2023. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Professor John Mearsheimer: China - Partner or Enemy?
In "Professor John Mearsheimer: China - Partner or Enemy?," Judge Andrew Napolitano interviews Professor John Mearsheimer about US-China relations and the potential for conflict. Mearsheimer dismisses claims that Ukrainian forces sabotaged the Nord Stream pipeline, suggesting the US government's involvement and Germany's tacit compliance. Transitioning to Israel and Gaza, Mearsheimer warns of escalating genocide rhetoric and the risk of regional war. On China, he argues that the US and China are heading towards intense security competition, with the South China Sea or Taiwan as potential flashpoints. Mearsheimer criticizes President Biden's handling of relations with China, stressing the need for open communication to avoid unintended conflict.
11/17/2023. Lex Fridman
John Mearsheimer: Israel-Palestine, Russia-Ukraine, China, NATO, and WW3 | Lex Fridman Podcast #401
In "John Mearsheimer: Israel-Palestine, Russia-Ukraine, China, NATO, and WW3 | Lex Fridman Podcast #401," John Mearsheimer discusses his views on power dynamics in international relations, focusing on conflicts such as those in Ukraine, Israel-Palestine, and US-China relations. He emphasizes that states are driven by a need to maximize power due to the anarchic nature of the international system, which often leads to aggressive behavior for survival. Mearsheimer attributes the Ukraine war to NATO expansion, the Israel-Palestine conflict to Israeli occupation, and sees China as a significant threat requiring careful containment by the US. He also critiques the influence of the Israel lobby on US foreign policy and underscores the importance of empathy and humility in global leadership.
11/22/2023. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John J. Mearsheimer: Will Russia and China Intervene in Gaza?
In "Prof. John J. Mearsheimer: Will Russia and China Intervene in Gaza?" Judge Andrew Napolitano discusses the Israeli-Gaza conflict with Professor John Mearsheimer, exploring China's diplomatic moves and the US's steadfast yet challenged position. Mearsheimer suggests China sees the conflict as a chance to gain leverage while criticizing the US's role in perpetuating the crisis. He distinguishes between war crimes and genocide, noting disturbing rhetoric and actions on Israel's part. The discussion portrays Russia as a peacemaker contrasting with US aggression and highlights the economic and humanitarian impacts on both sides. Mearsheimer emphasizes the need for US pressure on Israel to prevent further escalation.
11/29/2023. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer: Ukraine and Israel: Is China ready to pounce?
In an interview titled "Prof. John Mearsheimer: Ukraine and Israel: Is China ready to pounce?", Professor John Mearsheimer discusses Israel's temporary ceasefire with Hamas, predicting a resumption of Israel's bombing campaign. He criticizes Israel's approach, questioning the morality of targeting civilians in southern Gaza after forcing them to relocate. Mearsheimer highlights the US's difficult position: supporting Israel risks alienating Arab-American voters, while criticism could anger the pro-Israel lobby. He also doubts that Israel can defeat Hamas and worries about Gaza's future post-war. Furthermore, Mearsheimer critiques the US and UK's handling of the Ukraine conflict, arguing missed diplomatic opportunities harm American interests.
12/8/2023. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer: Russia, China, and Gaza.
In the interview "Prof. John Mearsheimer: Russia, China, and Gaza," political scientist Professor John Mearsheimer critiques the ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza. He asserts that Ukraine is losing against Russia and dismisses President Biden's warnings of a broader Russian invasion as unfounded. On Gaza, he condemns Israeli actions as a "massacre" and criticizes the Biden administration for not using its significant leverage over Israel to stop the violence. Mearsheimer also warns about the risks of escalating tensions in the South China Sea, emphasizing the potential for dangerous naval incidents between the US and China. Throughout, he challenges prevailing narratives and criticizes US foreign policy for worsening global conflicts.
12/12/2023. The Institute of Art and Ideas
Steven Pinker vs John Mearsheimer debate the enlightenment | Part 2 of FULL DEBATE
In "Steven Pinker vs John Mearsheimer debate the enlightenment | Part 2 of FULL DEBATE," John Mearsheimer and Steven Pinker discuss progress in morality and politics. Mearsheimer argues that societal influences and inherent tribalism hinder achieving universal moral and political consensus. Pinker counters that reason and liberalism, which emphasize individual rights and tolerance, enable human flourishing and progress. The debate touches on the role of reason, human nature, the definition of progress, and the function of liberalism. The conversation concludes with a recognition of the complexity of progress and the continuing value in pursuing reason, tolerance, and human flourishing.
12/9/2023. The Institute of Art and Ideas
Steven Pinker vs John Mearsheimer debate the enlightenment | Part 1 of FULL DEBATE
In "Steven Pinker vs John Mearsheimer debate the enlightenment | Part 1 of FULL DEBATE," Steven Pinker argues that the Enlightenment has driven significant progress in life expectancy, poverty, and literacy through reason and science, promoting a healthier and happier world. John Mearsheimer counters that the Enlightenment's emphasis on reason has not achieved consensus on fundamental values, leading to conflicts, and stresses the role of politics in managing these disagreements. Mearsheimer also highlights human tribalism and national identities as obstacles to moral and political progress. Pinker responds that Enlightenment ideals provide a framework for handling disagreements democratically rather than eliminating them. The debate underscores the complexity of measuring progress, contrasting tangible improvements with the ongoing struggle for consensus on core values.
12/15/2023. UnHerd
John Mearsheimer: There is no two-state solution
In the interview "John Mearsheimer: There is no two-state solution," international relations scholar John Mearsheimer discusses his realist perspective on the Ukraine war, Israel-Palestine conflict, and US foreign policy. He asserts Russia is winning the Ukraine war and predicts a "frozen conflict," while dismissing the feasibility of a two-state solution for Israel-Palestine, foreseeing a future apartheid state. Mearsheimer criticizes the US's unconditional support for Israel, attributing it to lobbying rather than strategic interests. He predicts a potential Ukraine peace deal under Trump but doubts Putin's trust in any US leader. Lastly, Mearsheimer argues that prolonged conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East benefit China by distracting the US.
12/16/2023. Al Jazeera English
John Mearsheimer: Israel is choosing 'apartheid' or 'ethnic cleansing' | The Bottom Line
In "John Mearsheimer: Israel is choosing 'apartheid' or 'ethnic cleansing' | The Bottom Line," John Mearsheimer discusses with Steve Clemens the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and criticizes the disproportionate civilian casualties in Gaza. Mearsheimer argues that Israel's actions extend beyond targeting Hamas and amount to war crimes, with the US complicit through its support. He notes a growing critical stance among US younger generations toward Israel’s policies, attributing it to increased awareness of humanitarian issues. Mearsheimer claims Israel aims to ethnically cleanse Gaza and the West Bank to maintain a Jewish majority, influenced by ultra-orthodox interpretations of land ownership. The discussion highlights concerns over the dehumanization of Palestinians and the enduring psychological impact of the conflict.
12/11/2023. Daniel Davis / Deep Dive
John Mearsheimer - Ukraine Crumbling under Russia's Relentless Assaults. How Long can Kyiv Survive?"
In an interview titled "John Mearsheimer - Ukraine Crumbling under Russia's Relentless Assaults. How Long can Kyiv Survive?" international relations theorist John Mearsheimer discusses the Russia-Ukraine war. He argues that the conflict is rooted in NATO expansion and internal Ukrainian tensions between the government and Russian-speaking populations. Mearsheimer criticizes the removal of nuclear weapons from Ukraine in the 1990s, suggesting it would have deterred Russian aggression. He doubts the effectiveness of continued US military aid, predicting further escalation and Russian territorial gains. He advocates for a negotiated settlement acknowledging Russia's security concerns and territorial control to resolve the conflict.
12/16/2023. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof John J Mearsheimer: International Politics: A Focus on US, Europe and Russia
In the interview "Prof. John J. Mearsheimer: International Politics: A Focus on US, Europe and Russia," Judge Andrew Napolitano and Professor John Mearsheimer discuss the Gaza conflict and the US's political maneuvering in response. They critique the Biden administration's tightrope walk between the Israel lobby and Arab American voters, doubting any potential for lasting peace. Mearsheimer and Napolitano shift to the Ukraine war, attributing blame to NATO expansion and predicting a Russian victory. Both see dire political ramifications for Biden, suggesting that Trump could exploit these foreign policy issues in the upcoming election. They conclude by lamenting the entrenched neoconservative influence on US foreign policy and expressing doubt about significant change despite looming geopolitical setbacks.
12/12/2023. CNN-News18
American Professor John Mearshimer Exclusive Interview On Israel-Palestine Conflict | N18V | News18
The war between Israel and Hamas has caused severe casualties, with over 1200 Israelis and 18,000 Palestinians killed. Professor John Mearsheimer argues that Israel's aim to defeat Hamas is unachievable, as another resistance group would replace it. He insists that a political, not military, solution is critical for lasting peace and criticizes Israel's aspirations for territorial expansion. Mearsheimer attributes unwavering US support for Israel to the powerful influence of the Israel lobby, shaping foreign policy consistently regardless of the governing party. Additionally, he expresses concern over the US's sustainment of involvement in both the Ukraine and Israel-Hamas conflicts, noting potential political repercussions in the 2024 election.
12/14/2023. The Spectator
John Mearsheimer, Andrew Neil & Posie Parker on Gaza, populism & trans politics | Christmas special
In the interview titled "John Mearsheimer, Andrew Neil & Posie Parker on Gaza, populism & trans politics | Christmas special," the discussion revolves around three key topics: the Gaza conflict, the rise of populism, and issues surrounding trans politics. John Mearsheimer offers insights on geopolitical tensions in Gaza, Andrew Neil delves into the factors fueling populism, and Posie Parker addresses contemporary debates on trans rights. The interview provides a deep analysis of how these complex issues intersect and influence global and domestic politics.
12/8/2023. John Anderson Media
Ukraine, Taiwan and The True Cause of War | John Mearsheimer
In "Ukraine, Taiwan and The True Cause of War | John Mearsheimer," John Mearsheimer, a prominent realist scholar, discusses the realist and liberal perspectives in international relations. He emphasizes that power and security are paramount for states, rejecting the liberal democratic peace theory by arguing that even democracies are driven by self-interest. Mearsheimer criticizes NATO's expansion, viewing it as a strategic error that destabilized the region and heightened tensions with Russia. He underscores the necessity of a realist approach in a multipolar world, particularly with the rise of China. Mearsheimer advises the US to prioritize its relationship with China, maintain a strong military, and avoid unproductive conflicts like the Ukraine crisis.
12/21/2023. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Professor John Mearsheimer: 2023: Lessons for Biden, Zelenskyy, and Netanyahu
In an interview with Judge Andrew Napolitano, Professor John Mearsheimer discusses the complexities of the Ukraine war and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. He criticizes President Biden for contributing to the Ukraine war through an aggressive anti-Russian stance and warns that the West has dangerously depleted its military stockpiles. Regarding the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Mearsheimer condemns the US's unconditional support for Israel and questions the effectiveness and morality of Israel's military actions in Gaza. He argues that US foreign policy is driven by a sense of imperial entitlement across both major political parties. Mearsheimer emphasizes the need for a nuanced understanding and critical analysis of these global issues.
12/21/2023. The Duran
Gaza & Ukraine Endgame - John Mearsheimer, Alexander Mercouris & Glenn Diesen
In "Gaza & Ukraine Endgame - John Mearsheimer, Alexander Mercouris & Glenn Diesen," experts discuss the Israel-Palestine conflict and the Ukraine war, spotlighting Israel's actions in Gaza and the strategic missteps therein. Mearsheimer attributes Israel's Gaza strategy to ethnic cleansing while Mercouris critiques it as both immoral and ineffective. The dialogue explores the unlikelihood of achieving peace through the proposed solutions and warns of potential regional escalation. Regarding Ukraine, Mearsheimer attributes Western support to Russophobia and misguided beliefs in Western dominance, detailing Russia's goals of denazification and a neutral Ukraine but predicting prolonged conflict. Both conflicts are marked by lobby influences and insufficient critical discourse in the West.
12/27/2023. CGTN
Annual review of geopolitics in 2023
The "Annual review of geopolitics in 2023" delves into the complexities of the Gaza crisis, the Ukraine war, and US-China relations. John Mearsheimer argues that Israel's military victory over Hamas in Gaza is unlikely, sees the crisis as a disaster for the US, and highlights how China and Russia are capitalizing on the situation. He believes the Ukraine war, minimally impacted by the Gaza conflict, is tipped in Russia's favor due to superior industrial capacity and commitment. He views the Ukraine war as beneficial for China as it distracts the US from Asia, pushing Russia closer to China and potentially forming an alliance. The dialogue underscores the interconnectedness of these global events and their implications for US foreign policy and the 2024 US elections.
1/5/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer : Who Is the US Enemy: Russia or China?
In "Prof. John Mearsheimer: Who Is the US Enemy: Russia or China?", Professor John Mearsheimer discusses U.S. foreign policy mistakes, focusing on the involvement in Ukraine and the unintended consequences of pushing Russia and China closer together. He criticizes the U.S.'s aggressive stance towards Russia, which he claims poses no significant threat, and highlights the irony of Russian citizens thanking Joe Biden for sanctions that seemingly bolstered Russia's economy. Mearsheimer also explores U.S. commitment to Taiwan's defense against China and criticizes Israel's actions in Gaza, drawing parallels to historical genocides. He argues that the international reaction, particularly from South Africa, showcases global discontent with Israel's policies and implicates U.S. complicity.
1/8/2024. Jadaliyya
Genocide in Gaza: Dimensions of an Unfolding Catastrophe, Featuring John J. Mearsheimer, In C…
The podcast "Genocide in Gaza: Dimensions of an Unfolding Catastrophe, Featuring John J. Mearsheimer" delves into the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, focusing on recent escalations in Gaza and their potential implications. John Mearsheimer, a renowned political scientist, discusses South Africa's accusations of Israeli genocide at the International Court of Justice and criticizes the Biden administration's unwavering support for Israel, attributing it to the Israel lobby's influence and Biden's personal ties. Mearsheimer also explores the influence of the military-industrial complex and suggests that US foreign policy is driven by a mix of realism and liberal ideals. He touches on the conflict's impact on US domestic politics and expresses skepticism about the ICJ's effectiveness, concluding that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is unlikely to be resolved soon due to deep-seated complexities and ongoing tensions.
1/11/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer: Not a war crime, but GENOCIDE.
In the interview titled "Prof. John Mearsheimer: Not a war crime, but GENOCIDE," Judge Andrew Napolitano and Professor John Mearsheimer discuss South Africa’s genocide accusations against Israel at the International Court of Justice (ICJ). They scrutinize Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's political constraints and the Biden administration's pressure on him. Mearsheimer explains his shift from viewing Israel's actions in Gaza as war crimes to genocide, attributing this to Israel's relentless bombing campaign after the first truce. The conversation delves into the legal definition of genocide and South Africa's arguments, implicating both Israel and potentially the US. Mearsheimer criticizes the US government's dismissal of the allegations and warns of the case's long-term negative implications for Israel's international standing.
1/15/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. Mearsheimer: Israel's Unsuccessful Legal Assertions at the International Court of Justice
In the interview titled "Prof. Mearsheimer: Israel's Unsuccessful Legal Assertions at the International Court of Justice," Prof. Mearsheimer discusses Israel's strategic and legal challenges at the International Court of Justice. He elaborates on why Israel's legal arguments have not been successful and the broader implications for international law and global politics. Mearsheimer provides insights into the geopolitical dynamics influencing these legal outcomes and critiques the approaches taken by Israel in its legal battles.
1/16/2024. Daniel Davis / Deep Dive
Prof. John Mearsheimer: Can Ukraine Win by Playing Defense in 2024
In the interview "Prof. John Mearsheimer: Can Ukraine Win by Playing Defense in 2024," Daniel Davis and John Mearsheimer discuss the Russia-Ukraine war's current state and its future implications. Mearsheimer argues Ukraine's prospects for a successful defense in 2024 and a counteroffensive in 2025 are unrealistic, citing recent failures, Russia's superior capabilities, and Ukraine's military and political challenges. He dismisses the idea that Russia seeks further territorial expansion into Western Ukraine or Eastern Europe but warns of potential Western intervention if the situation worsens. Mearsheimer also discusses the broader geopolitical shift toward a multipolar world, with increased cooperation between Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea, stressing the need for diplomacy and a realistic approach to international relations. The discussion underscores the complexity and risks of the conflict, highlighting the need for humility and recognition of the changing global landscape.
1/16/2024. Centre for Independent Studies
John Mearsheimer on the Battle Between Liberalism vs Nationalism
In "John Mearsheimer on the Battle Between Liberalism vs Nationalism," John Mearsheimer argues that while liberalism works well domestically, its application in foreign policy can cause significant problems. He differentiates between "modus vivendi" liberalism, which seeks minimal state intervention, and "progressive" liberalism, which aims to actively promote equality and social justice. Mearsheimer contends that progressive liberalism's focus on individual rights and universal values often conflicts with nationalism, which prioritizes national identity. He critiques U.S. liberal interventionism, particularly in the Middle East, for exacerbating conflicts. Mearsheimer advocates for a restrained foreign policy, emphasizing the importance of leading by example rather than imposing liberal values through intervention.
1/22/2024. SCMP Clips
Palestinians face bleak prospects of ethnic cleansing or apartheid, warns US political scientist
John Mearsheimer, a renowned political scientist, warns that Palestinians face bleak prospects of ethnic cleansing or apartheid. He discusses South Africa's compelling case at the International Court of Justice (ICJ) regarding alleged genocide against Palestinians and criticizes US complicity through its unwavering support for Israel. Mearsheimer suggests that the ICJ case might lead to individual charges at the International Criminal Court (ICC). He predicts that Israel will maintain control over the occupied territories, establishing an apartheid state, while the powerful Israel lobby ensures continued US support despite public dissatisfaction. Mearsheimer believes this situation benefits China by keeping the US entangled, hindering its focus on containing China.
1/22/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer: Israeli Dilemma: Destroy Hamas OR Free the Hostages
In the interview, Professor John Mearsheimer discusses the intricate Israeli-Palestinian conflict, particularly focusing on Israel's actions in Gaza and their regional implications. He questions Israel’s democratic status due to unequal rights for Palestinians, and highlights an increasing theocratic tendency. Mearsheimer criticizes American complacency towards Israeli actions, citing historical and recent instances where the US failed to hold Israel accountable. He challenges the feasibility of Prime Minister Netanyahu’s goals regarding Hamas and hostages, mentioning controversial tactics like the "Hannibal doctrine." Mearsheimer also cautions against the broader neoconservative agenda in the Middle East, warning of its destabilizing potential.
1/25/2024. The Institute of Art and Ideas
The death of ideology | John Mearsheimer [Full Interview]
In "The death of ideology | John Mearsheimer [Full Interview]," renowned realist theorist John Mearsheimer discusses global conflicts, particularly in Ukraine and the Middle East, highlighting US foreign policy missteps. Mearsheimer attributes Russia's invasion of Ukraine to fears of NATO expansion rather than a desire for conquest, and critiques US involvement in Ukraine and the Middle East, advocating for a focus on China as the primary strategic threat. He notes limitations in realism, citing the Israel lobby's influence on US policy, and emphasizes that while no theory is perfect, realism remains a valuable framework for understanding international relations. He calls for a realist approach to guide US foreign policy and address its strategic priorities more effectively.
2/1/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer : Can Israel Win in Gaza?
In "Prof. John Mearsheimer: Can Israel Win in Gaza?", Judge Andrew Napolitano interviews Professor John Mearsheimer about the Israel-Palestine conflict and the Ukraine war. Mearsheimer questions the effectiveness of the EU's €50 billion aid to Ukraine, pointing out its primary purpose is governmental support, not military advancement, and highlights internal Ukrainian leadership conflicts involving General Valery Zaluzhny. Discussing Israel, Mearsheimer underscores the significance of the International Court of Justice's ruling against Israel for potential genocidal actions, yet notes no substantial change in Israeli policies. He criticizes US policies in response to Iranian-backed attacks and questions the evidence behind claims used to justify potential further military actions, emphasizing the broader context of Israel's ongoing aggression and its destabilizing impact.
2/3/2024. The Duran
Absence of US Strategy, Middle East & Ukraine - John Mearsheimer, Alexander Mercouris & Glenn Diesen
The interview "Absence of US Strategy, Middle East & Ukraine - John Mearsheimer, Alexander Mercouris & Glenn Diesen" discusses the deteriorating conditions in the Middle East and Ukraine, highlighting the declining influence of the US and the West. The conversation examines the International Court of Justice's ruling against Israel for actions in Gaza, marking a potential turning point in the conflict and intensifying the call for a Palestinian state. Additionally, the panelists criticize the US's stance on Iran and the flawed approach toward Ukraine, arguing that current strategies are escalating conflicts rather than deterring them. They emphasize the need for the US to reassess its global role and strategies in a multipolar world, warning of continued instability and confrontation if current policies persist.
2/8/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer: Is Biden Expanding War?
In the "Prof. John Mearsheimer: Is Biden Expanding War?" episode of Judging Freedom, Judge Andrew Napolitano interviews Professor John Mearsheimer about the conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza and potential Israel-Saudi normalization. Mearsheimer argues that U.S. support for Ukraine is futile, urging a push for a negotiated settlement. He criticizes the leadership change in the Ukrainian military and condemns the U.S. for withholding aid from UNRWA while supplying Israel with weapons. He also discusses the improbability of an Abraham Accord amid the Gaza conflict and critiques Hillary Clinton's reaction to Tucker Carlson's upcoming interview with Vladimir Putin, advocating for open dialogue.
2/15/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer: Is Armageddon Coming in the Middle East?
In "Prof. John Mearsheimer: Is Armageddon Coming in the Middle East?", Judge Andrew Napolitano expresses concerns about economic instability and advocates for investments in gold and silver through Lear Capital. Professor John Mearsheimer discusses the grim prospects for Ukraine in the ongoing war, citing issues like manpower shortages and Russian air power superiority, and criticizes the proposed $61 billion aid package. He disputes claims of Russian territorial ambitions in Ukraine, pointing to Putin's withdrawal of troops from Kyiv. The conversation shifts to the influence of AIPAC on US foreign policy, condemning the lack of pressure for a two-state solution and highlighting US hypocrisy in supporting Israel despite human rights violations. Mearsheimer concludes with skepticism about the effectiveness of US military strikes in the Middle East, questioning their deterrent impact against future attacks.
2/13/2024. NDISC
War and International Politics | John Mearsheimer | NDISC Seminar Series
John Mearsheimer's lecture, "War and International Politics," highlighted the inevitability of war in international relations due to the anarchic nature of the global system. He argued that great power conflicts define international politics, with states inevitably resorting to war to secure their national interests, despite legal or ethical frameworks. Mearsheimer discussed the concepts of preventive wars and wars of opportunity as essential tools for state survival, often clashing with just war theory. He also examined the dynamics of war escalation, particularly the dangers in the nuclear age, underscoring the need for careful statecraft. Ultimately, he emphasized that while moral considerations are influential, the pursuit of security and survival dominates international politics.
2/22/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer: US and the Unipolar Moment
In an interview with Judge Andrew Napolitano, Professor John Mearsheimer discusses the end of the "unipolar moment," marking a shift to a multipolar world with the emergence of China and Russia as major powers. Mearsheimer critiques the US's foreign policy, especially the NATO expansion which he believes exacerbated tensions with Russia leading to the Ukraine conflict, which he views as unnecessary. He also addresses the US-China relationship, perceiving China's growth as the primary challenge and critiquing the US's containment strategy. Mearsheimer asserts that the two-state solution for the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is unattainable due to the influence of the Israel lobby and describes Israel's actions in Gaza as genocidal and creating an apartheid state. Concluding on a pessimistic note, Mearsheimer suggests a fundamental shift in US policy is needed to achieve a peaceful resolution.
2/21/2024. Daniel Davis / Deep Dive
JOHN MEARSHEIMER: Ukraine Can't Win - But Can it Avoid Defeat?
In "JOHN MEARSHEIMER: Ukraine Can't Win - But Can it Avoid Defeat?", Daniel Davis and international relations theorist John Mearsheimer discuss the war in Ukraine, arguing that Ukraine is unlikely to win against Russia due to significant disparities in military capabilities. Mearsheimer emphasizes Russia's strategic advantage in air power, artillery, and manpower, while Davis criticizes the unrealistic "as long as it takes" rhetoric from US and Ukrainian leaders. They discuss the West's role, attributing the conflict's escalation to NATO and EU integration efforts. Mearsheimer advocates for a negotiated settlement requiring Ukraine's neutrality, though he doubts the West's willingness to acknowledge reality, predicting the war will continue. The conversation concludes with concerns over ongoing bloodshed and the need for realistic negotiations to prevent further suffering.
2/22/2024. Useful Idiots
Extended episode: "Insanity" – John Mearsheimer on the US role in Gaza and Ukraine
In the podcast episode "Extended episode: 'Insanity' – John Mearsheimer on the US role in Gaza and Ukraine," renowned political scientist John Mearsheimer discusses his critical views on US foreign policy regarding the Ukraine war and the Gaza conflict. He contends that the US's involvement in Ukraine is driven by misguided ambitions of liberal hegemony and has exacerbated the conflict through NATO expansion. Mearsheimer also criticizes US support for Israel's actions in Gaza, attributing it to the extensive influence of the Israel lobby. He reflects on his military service and its impact on his perspectives, emphasizing honesty in geopolitical analysis. The discussion highlights the broader implications of these conflicts and questions the sustainability of current US foreign policy.
2/27/2024. Piers Morgan Uncensored
Piers Morgan vs John Mearsheimer | On Putin, Israel-Hamas And More
In the interview "Piers Morgan vs John Mearsheimer | On Putin, Israel-Hamas And More," Professor John Mearsheimer discusses three major global tensions: the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the war in Ukraine, and the US-China rivalry. He argues against US intervention in Ukraine, attributing the conflict to NATO expansion, but supports defending Taiwan against Chinese aggression. Mearsheimer critiques Israel's actions in Gaza as disproportionate and potentially genocidal, insisting Hamas doesn't pose an existential threat to Israel. He stresses the need for respectful discourse in democracies and advocates for Julian Assange's release, viewing his actions as vital for government accountability. He concludes with uncertainty about the future safety under either Biden or Trump, noting complexities in their potential policies.
2/29/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer: When Will Middle East and Ukraine Explode
In a tense "Judging Freedom" interview, Judge Andrew Napolitano and Professor John Mearsheimer discuss the escalating conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza. Mearsheimer asserts that Ukraine is likely to lose the war due to shifting power dynamics favoring Russia and criticizes the West's heavy investment, including NATO troop suggestions. He reveals extensive Western involvement in Ukraine, citing 14 CIA bases, and calls this a de facto war against Russia. In Gaza, Mearsheimer condemns Israeli military actions and emphasizes the powerful influence of the Israeli lobby on American policy. He predicts continued conflict and potential escalation, stressing the need for a fundamental shift in US policy towards Israel amidst growing international pressure.
3/6/2024. Daniel Davis / Deep Dive
John Mearsheimer - U.S. Blind Support of Ukraine / The West: Collective Suicide
In the interview "John Mearsheimer - U.S. Blind Support of Ukraine / The West: Collective Suicide," political scientist John Mearsheimer discusses the unwinnable nature of Ukraine's war and the strategic damage the US incurs by its unwavering support. Both Mearsheimer and interviewer Daniel Davis advocate for a diplomatic solution to the conflict. They criticize the disconnect between US officials' public optimism and the grim reality on the ground, emphasizing the strategic error in driving Russia closer to China. The conversation also addresses the risks of nuclear escalation and calls for a reassessment of US strategy to prevent further geopolitical complications and protect national interests.
2/22/2024. 环球时报 Global Times
John Mearsheimer on Russia-Ukraine conflict
John Mearsheimer argues that the Ukraine conflict will likely result in a frozen situation, with Russia retaining captured territory and no genuine peace deal. He attributes the war to NATO expansion, seen by Russia as an existential threat, rather than imperialistic ambitions from Putin. Mearsheimer contends that sanctions on Russia have failed, benefiting its economy while harming Europe’s. He criticizes the US strategy of reversing the battlefield situation as delusional and urges Ukraine to seek a settlement with Russia. However, he observes that neither side seems willing to compromise, leading to a prolonged and potentially hazardous stalemate.
3/14/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John J. Mearsheimer : Ukraine’s Dangerous Last Gasp.
In "Prof. John J. Mearsheimer: Ukraine’s Dangerous Last Gasp," Mearsheimer discusses the Ukraine war and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict with Judge Andrew Napolitano on Judging Freedom. He argues that the US's intelligence and weaponry support for Ukraine could be seen as acts of war, predicting Ukraine will lose despite aid. Mearsheimer harshly criticizes Israel's AI-powered weapons in Gaza, describing them as genocidal and part of an effort to ethnically cleanse the area. He foresees further divisions in NATO and a worsening humanitarian crisis in Gaza with no clear political resolution. His pessimistic analysis challenges the prevailing optimistic narratives on both conflicts.
3/16/2024. The Duran
The West in Decline - John Mearsheimer, Alexander Mercouris & Glenn Diesen
The discussion explores the Ukraine war's global implications, with the panelists predicting Ukraine's defeat and NATO's subsequent challenges. John Mearsheimer highlights the Biden administration's commitment to a prolonged conflict with Russia, contrasting it with Trump's potential approach to negotiate with Putin. Alexander Mercuris underscores European leaders' uncertainty and the lack of a unified strategy. The conversation also touches on the US-China rivalry, the US's entanglement in the Middle East, and the broader issue of sustaining military capabilities. The panelists critique the NATO expansion to Ukraine and stress the need for a more pragmatic approach to international relations, despite the challenging political climate and pervasive narratives in the media.
3/20/2024. Firstpost
Did the West Provoke Russia in Ukraine? Watch John Mearsheimer's Take on Moscow's War on Kyiv
In "Did the West Provoke Russia in Ukraine? Watch John Mearsheimer's Take on Moscow's War on Kyiv," political scientist John Mearsheimer discusses the rise of a multipolar world, emphasizing the strategic challenges for nations like India amid the US-China-Russia dynamic. He foresees increasing US-India alignment against China, predicting potential conflict and difficult choices for India. Mearsheimer blames the West for provoking Russia in Ukraine, foreseeing a Russian victory and urging a negotiated settlement. He dismisses fears that US withdrawal from Ukraine would embolden China to attack Taiwan but identifies the South China Sea as a conflict flashpoint where India's role would be crucial. Additionally, he critiques past US policies toward China and criticizes Israel's actions in Gaza, predicting international pressure for a two-state solution.
3/21/2024. Gita Wirjawan
John Mearsheimer: What’s Behind Biden’s Blank Check Support for Israel? | Endgame #179 (Luminaries)
In "John Mearsheimer: What’s Behind Biden’s Blank Check Support for Israel? | Endgame #179 (Luminaries)," Professor John Mearsheimer discusses his predictions for the Ukraine war, suggesting a likely Russian victory and advocating for Ukraine's neutrality to prevent further losses. He criticizes the Israel lobby's influence on U.S. policy, describing American support for Israel's actions in Gaza as complicity in genocide and dismissing a two-state solution as unfeasible. Mearsheimer identifies China as the principal threat to the U.S., urging a strategic focus on the Asia-Pacific region rather than the Middle East or Ukraine. He stresses the persistent power of nationalism in shaping international relations and anticipates increased nuclear proliferation in a multipolar world.
3/22/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John J Mearsheimer: How the West Provoked Russia
In "Prof. John J Mearsheimer: How the West Provoked Russia," Judge Andrew Napolitano and Professor John Mearsheimer discuss US foreign policy in Gaza and Ukraine. They critique the Biden administration's precarious stance, pressured by both Israel lobbyists and Arab American voters, and express doubts about achieving lasting peace. Napolitano criticizes the unwavering US support for Israel, arguing it harms US interests and exacerbates the humanitarian crisis in Gaza. They also discuss Secretary Blinken's ineffective measures and the broader implications of NATO actions in Ukraine. Both agree that the conflicts might impact Biden politically, potentially giving leverage to Donald Trump.
3/26/2024. Daniel Davis / Deep Dive
John Mearsheimer: Moscow Terror Attack / U.S., Israel, Gaza Latest
The interview between Danny and Professor John Mearsheimer discusses the recent terrorist attack in Moscow, the war in Ukraine, and the Israel-Hamas conflict in Gaza. Danny and Mearsheimer analyze U.S. government warnings prior to the Moscow attack, suspecting possible U.S. foreknowledge and the need for thorough investigation. They debate the plausibility of Russian claims linking Ukraine to the attack, emphasizing the need for solid evidence. The conversation covers the broader implications of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, addressing shifting power dynamics and the potential for a negotiated settlement. They also touch on the humanitarian impact and strategic failures of Israel's military actions in Gaza, expressing concern about ongoing escalations and the difficulty in resolving these conflicts.
3/27/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John J. Mearsheimer: Biden's Blank Check
In "Prof. John J. Mearsheimer: Biden's Blank Check," Professor John Mearsheimer discusses with Judge Andrew Napolitano the conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza, and the potential normalization of Israel-Saudi relations. Mearsheimer contends that US support for Ukraine, including substantial aid, is futile and prolongs suffering, urging instead for a negotiated settlement. He criticizes the change in Ukrainian military leadership and condemns Israeli actions in Gaza, accusing the US of complicity. Mearsheimer also believes Saudi pressure undermined normalization efforts with Israel, emphasizing the unrealistic demands for a two-state solution. Lastly, he criticizes the Biden administration's Middle Eastern policies and defends Tucker Carlson's right to interview Putin.
3/29/2024. Al Jazeera English
John Mearsheimer: Israel lobby’s influence on US policy as powerful as ever | UpFront
In "John Mearsheimer: Israel lobby’s influence on US policy as powerful as ever | UpFront," political scientist John Mearsheimer discusses the enduring influence of the Israel Lobby on US foreign policy, arguing that it shapes America's unconditional support for Israel despite its controversial actions in Gaza. Mearsheimer contends that this relationship is a strategic liability rather than an asset. He also touches on the US's role in the Ukraine conflict, suggesting that Ukraine should pursue neutrality and negotiate with Russia rather than relying on US aid. Mearsheimer concludes that the failures in Ukraine and the rise of China indicate a shift from American unipolarity to a multipolar world order, though the US maintains some advantages due to its immigrant culture.
4/4/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer : US Troops in Taiwan?
In "Prof. John Mearsheimer: US Troops in Taiwan?", Judge Andrew Napolitano and Professor John Mearsheimer discuss the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, criticizing the US's hypocritical response to violence in Gaza and inaction on the ongoing genocide. They talk about the Israeli bombing of the Iranian consulate in Damascus and predict that the West will condemn but not punish Israel, further harming US and Israeli reputations. Mearsheimer doubts the effectiveness of US and EU financial aid to Ukraine and advocates for a negotiated settlement involving Ukrainian neutrality. The conversation ends with Mearsheimer warning that the US military presence in Taiwan could provoke a dangerous escalation with China, arguing for a more measured approach. Throughout, Mearsheimer critiques US foreign policy as hypocritical and driven by self-interest.
4/11/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer : Israel’s Dangerous Game.
In the interview "Prof. John Mearsheimer: Israel’s Dangerous Game," Mearsheimer discusses the complexities of the Ukraine war and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. He suggests that US intelligence and weaponry support to Ukraine could be seen as acts of war and argues that Ukraine is destined to lose despite the proposed $60 billion aid package. Mearsheimer condemns Israel's actions in Gaza, labeling them as genocidal and criticizing the US's complicity. He expresses concern about potential escalation into a US-Iran war due to Israeli actions and criticizes the lack of a clear political plan for Gaza post-conflict. The discussion underscores the intertwined nature of military actions and political strategies in both conflicts.
4/11/2024. Daniel Davis / Deep Dive
John Mearsheimer: Ukraine's NEW Counteroffensive / Zelensky Guarantees Victory?
The interview features a discussion between Danny Davis and John Mearsheimer on the ongoing war in Ukraine, highlighting the gap between battlefield realities and Western rhetoric. Mearsheimer argues that the Ukrainian counteroffensive is unrealistic due to depleted resources and growing Russian strength, warning of severe consequences for Ukraine. Both Davis and Mearsheimer criticize US policy, suggesting it's driven by wishful thinking and has inadvertently strengthened alliances between Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea. They foresee a frozen conflict leading to long-term geopolitical instability and stress that US military aid will unlikely alter the war’s outcome. They advocate for immediate negotiations to minimize Ukrainian casualties and territorial losses.
4/13/2024. The Duran
End of Escalatory Ladder in Ukraine & MidEast: John Mearsheimer, Alexander Mercouris & Glenn Diesen
The interview "End of Escalatory Ladder in Ukraine & MidEast: John Mearsheimer, Alexander Mercouris & Glenn Diesen" features a discussion on the escalating conflict in Ukraine and its implications for NATO and international relations. Panelists argue that the West's strategy of escalation dominance is failing as Russia emerges as a stronger adversary, and warn that French threats to send troops into Ukraine could dangerously fracture NATO. They assert that NATO will likely be weakened by the Ukraine conflict, and emphasize that a neutral Ukraine is essential for a settlement, though they differ on the role of the United States in peace negotiations. The panel also expresses concern over the rising tensions between Israel and Iran, suggesting that the West needs a more strategic, diplomatically-focused approach to international relations to address growing global instability.
4/18/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer: Russia Smashes NATO.
In the interview titled "Prof. John Mearsheimer: Russia Smashes NATO," political scientist John Mearsheimer asserts that Russia has crippled NATO through its successful military campaign in Ukraine, thereby causing the US and its European allies to suffer significant strategic losses. He criticizes European nations for their inadequate defense spending and reliance on US security, which he argues enhances US political leverage over them. Mearsheimer discusses the challenges facing the Ukrainian military, including severe weapon shortages and the potential for collapse under Russian pressure. He dismisses Ukrainian President Zelensky's pleas for more weaponry, arguing that US aid is insufficient and unlikely to shift the balance. Mearsheimer also critiques US and Israeli responses to a recent Iranian attack, suggesting that both nations are keen to avoid further escalation and any direct military confrontation with Iran.
4/17/2024. NDISC
The Israel Lobby with John Mearsheimer and Stephen Walt | Outside the Box Podcast
In the podcast episode "The Israel Lobby with John Mearsheimer and Stephen Walt | Outside the Box Podcast," the authors discuss their book "The Israel Lobby," arguing that American Middle East policy is heavily influenced by a coalition of groups prioritizing Israel's interests. This lobby, which includes not only Jewish individuals but also Christian Zionists and others, shapes discourse and policy-making, influencing media portrayal and political appointments to ensure sympathetic individuals occupy key positions. They contend that this influence explains the consistent US support for Israel and has led to significant foreign policy consequences, such as the Iraq War and difficulties in achieving a two-state solution. Despite a growing shift in public opinion, especially among younger generations, the authors believe the lobby remains potent but recognize the importance of ongoing critical discourse.
4/23/2024. Daniel Davis / Deep Dive
John Mearsheimer: Russia Bombing Ukraine until It's Uninhabitable
In the interview "John Mearsheimer: Russia Bombing Ukraine until It's Uninhabitable," John Mearsheimer discusses the devastating effects of the Russia-Ukraine war, particularly focusing on how Russian artillery has reduced Ukrainian cities to rubble. He emphasizes Russia's air power advantage, particularly through the use of guided glide bombs, and questions the efficacy of Western aid, arguing that most funds benefit American interests rather than altering the war's trajectory. Mearsheimer advocates for a radical policy shift, including ruling out Ukraine's NATO membership, to foster negotiations. He warns that continued Western support might escalate the conflict, potentially leading to a wider war between NATO and Russia.
4/25/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Pro. John Mearsheimer: Who/What Caused the War in Ukraine?
In "Pro. John Mearsheimer: Who/What Caused the War in Ukraine?", Mearsheimer argues that NATO's 2008 Bucharest summit declaring intentions to include Georgia and Ukraine catalyzed the conflict, prompting Russia to view it as an existential threat. He attributes the 2014 Ukrainian coup to US involvement, drawing parallels to other regime changes in American foreign policy. He criticizes the US's narrative, suggesting it overlooks historical context and serves to replenish US weapons stockpiles rather than purely aid Ukraine. Mearsheimer warns of potential escalation leading to a great power war, doubts US capability for a prolonged conflict, and advocates for a negotiated settlement to avoid catastrophic outcomes.
4/18/2024. Reinvent Money
John Mearsheimer: Things are going to get worse in Ukraine, Middle-East and South-East Asia.
In an interview with Paul Beitink on the "Reinvent Money" podcast, John Mearsheimer discusses his offensive realism theory and its implications for current geopolitical issues. He critiques NATO's expansion into Ukraine as strategically misguided and argues that the EU's foreign policy is overly influenced by the US, leading to compromised autonomy and increased tensions. Additionally, Mearsheimer downplays Russia's threat to Western Europe but warns of potential conflicts arising from US withdrawal from NATO, Chinese aggression towards Taiwan, and escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. He expresses a bleak outlook for the future, emphasizing growing nationalism and the weakening of liberal regimes. Despite challenges, he believes the US dollar will maintain its dominance as the world's reserve currency.
5/2/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer : Genocide, Free Speech, and Academia
In the interview "Prof. John Mearsheimer: Genocide, Free Speech, and Academia," Judge Andrew Napolitano and Professor John Mearsheimer discuss the influence of the Israel lobby on free speech in the United States, particularly in academic settings. Mearsheimer contends that accusations of antisemitism are often used to stifle legitimate criticism of Israel's policies, especially its treatment of Palestinians. He distinguishes between genuine antisemitism and valid political critique, noting that many critics of Israel are themselves Jewish. The conversation explores how the Israel lobby pressures universities to suppress protests against Israel and the detrimental impact on free speech and academic freedom. Mearsheimer warns that attempts to quash dissent will backfire, leading to further unrest and increased support for the Palestinian cause.
5/8/2024. Daniel Davis / Deep Dive
John Mearsheimer Zelensky & the West Detached from Reality
In the interview titled "John Mearsheimer: Zelensky & the West Detached from Reality," John Mearsheimer and Daniel Davis discuss the missteps and lack of clear strategy by the US in handling the Ukraine conflict, arguing these errors heighten the risk of catastrophic outcomes, including potential nuclear war with Russia. They criticize US leadership, particularly President Biden and Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, for failing to present a coherent plan or endgame for the war, pointing out unrealistic military expectations and a critical shortage of manpower and resources. Mearsheimer and Davis highlight the dangerous rhetoric from US officials and retired generals advocating for prolonged conflict, while Russian perceptions of Western intentions have only fueled their resolve. They call for a negotiated settlement involving Ukraine’s neutrality to prevent further escalation and bloodshed, warning against the current hubristic foreign policy stance.
5/17/2024. Centre for Independent Studies
Why Israel is in deep trouble: John Mearsheimer with Tom Switzer
John Mearsheimer, a political science professor, delivered a lecture titled "Why Israel is in deep trouble: John Mearsheimer with Tom Switzer" at the Centre for Independent Studies in Australia, critiquing the prevailing narratives surrounding the Middle East conflict. He argued that Israel's actions in Gaza aim at ethnic cleansing to establish a Jewish-dominated Greater Israel, and criticized Israel's lack of a clear political solution for Gaza. Mearsheimer also discussed the weakening of Israel's deterrence against adversaries like Iran, Hezbollah, and Hamas, and the increasing global view of Israel as a pariah state. He highlighted the US's deteriorating position due to its involvement in the Middle East, impacting its strategic pivot to East Asia and contributing to stronger ties between Iran, Russia, and China. The lecture concluded with a lively Q&A focusing on the motivations of the involved parties and the role of the Israel lobby in US politics.
5/17/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer : Donor Class vs. the First Amendment.
In "Prof. John Mearsheimer: Donor Class vs. the First Amendment," Judge Andrew Napolitano and Professor John Mearsheimer discuss the shift from a unipolar to a multipolar world and the implications for U.S. foreign policy. Mearsheimer attributes conflicts, such as the Ukraine war and Israeli-Palestinian tensions, to U.S. actions during its unipolar moment, including NATO expansion and democracy promotion. He criticizes U.S. support for Israel, influenced by the Israeli lobby, and dismisses the viability of a two-state solution. Mearsheimer stresses the importance of realism in international relations and expresses pessimism about positive change due to entrenched political interests.
5/18/2024. TRT World
Palestine Talks | John Mearsheimer discusses Gaza
The interview "Palestine Talks | John Mearsheimer discusses Gaza" explores the Israel-Palestine conflict through the lens of realism, emphasizing the rationality behind Israel's actions despite their moral implications. Mearsheimer argues that Israel's strategy aims to create a greater Israel free from Palestinian presence, supported by the influential Israeli lobby in American politics. He discusses the lobby's role in shaping U.S. policy, maintaining control over discourse, and securing political compliance. The impact of social media in exposing Israel's actions and challenging the lobby's narrative is also highlighted. Mearsheimer concludes by underscoring the tragic nature of international politics where self-interest predominates over moral considerations.
5/22/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer: How Will the War in Gaza End?
In "Prof. John Mearsheimer: How Will the War in Gaza End?", Judge Andrew Napolitano and Professor John Mearsheimer discuss the International Criminal Court's indictment of Israeli and Hamas leaders for alleged war crimes. Mearsheimer highlights the significant damage to Israel's reputation and the potential negative impact on the United States, given its close ties with Israel. He explores various scenarios for resolving the Gaza conflict, dismissing both a liberal democracy and a two-state solution as unrealistic, and identifying Israel's current apartheid system with potential ethnic cleansing as its escape route. Mearsheimer also addresses the strained US-Saudi relationship and criticizes US policy and political pressures, particularly focusing on the influence of the Israel lobby. The conversation underscores the complexity of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and its broader geopolitical implications.
5/30/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John J. Mearsheimer: How Ukraine War Started.
In an interview titled "Prof. John J. Mearsheimer: How Ukraine War Started," Judge Andrew Napolitano and Professor John Mearsheimer discuss the Ukraine conflict, tracing its roots to NATO's expansion and the 2008 decision to include Ukraine and Georgia in the alliance. Mearsheimer contends that this move posed an existential threat to Russia, as warned by US officials like Bill Burns. He criticizes Western support for Ukraine and advocates for a negotiated settlement to avoid escalation that could lead to direct US-Russia confrontation, potentially involving nuclear weapons. The interview also touches on US support for Israel in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict amid concerns over high civilian casualties in Gaza and possible ICC actions. Mearsheimer and Napolitano express deep pessimism about the state of American democracy, highlighting the erosion of constitutional rights and concentration of executive power.
6/1/2024. Breaking Points
John Mearsheimer UNLEASHED: Israel Genocide, Ukraine DOOMED, Biden's Folly
In "John Mearsheimer UNLEASHED: Israel Genocide, Ukraine DOOMED, Biden's Folly," Professor John Mearsheimer discusses the influence of US policy and the Israel lobby on the Israel-Palestine and Ukraine conflicts. He criticizes Israel's actions in Gaza as genocide and highlights Netanyahu's political interest in prolonging the conflict. On Ukraine, Mearsheimer argues that Russia has gained a significant advantage due to its superior manpower and firepower, and he dismisses the notion that Russia poses a broader threat to NATO. He concludes that US policies, driven by ideology and political calculations, have damaged its reputation and undermined the international liberal order.
6/6/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John J. Mearsheimer: What If Gaza and Ukraine Escalate?
In the interview, Prof. John Mearsheimer discusses the potential for conflict escalation in various geopolitical hotspots, focusing on US-China relations, Ukraine, and the Israel-Gaza conflict. He argues that while war between the US and China isn't inevitable, an intense security competition is likely. Mearsheimer criticizes US involvement in Ukraine, dismissing concerns about Russia's threat to Eastern Europe and warning of potential escalation. He attributes the conflict in Gaza to the influence of the Israel lobby and criticizes Israel's actions. Mearsheimer expresses skepticism about US military intervention in Gaza or the Israel-Hezbollah conflict but acknowledges the risks of US involvement in a conflict with Iran.
6/7/2024. Glenn Diesen
End of the Liberal Order & the Return to War - John Mearsheimer, Alexander Mercouris & Glenn Diesen
In the interview "End of the Liberal Order & the Return to War - John Mearsheimer, Alexander Mercouris & Glenn Diesen," Glenn Diesen, Alexander Mercouris, and John Mearsheimer discuss the Ukraine war, primarily focusing on the failure of the Ukrainian counteroffensive and the broader strategic implications. Mearsheimer argues the failure was foreseeable due to the power imbalance between Russia and Ukraine and criticizes the West's misguided belief in a quick Ukrainian victory. The discussion highlights the West's failure to learn from past mistakes and its reliance on information warfare, leading to a misreading of the situation. The potential for a negotiated settlement is debated, with Mearsheimer suggesting the West needs to sever security ties with Ukraine to satisfy Russia’s concerns, though all participants express pessimism about achieving a lasting peace due to the West's stance. The conversation concludes with regret over the missed opportunity for a more stable outcome and the tragic consequences of NATO's eastward expansion.
6/12/2024. Katie Halper
John Mearsheimer On World War III, Russia & Israel
In the "John Mearsheimer On World War III, Russia & Israel" interview, political scientist John Mearsheimer discusses his realist perspective on international relations, emphasizing national power and security over ideological considerations. He critiques U.S. interventionist policies, citing Vietnam, Afghanistan, and Iraq as failures. Regarding the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Mearsheimer criticizes the U.S. portrayal of the ceasefire, argues that Israel's founding involved ethnic cleansing, and contends that Israel deliberately prevents a viable Palestinian state. He defends his controversial views on Israel by referencing reports and criticism from various human rights organizations and public figures. The discussion touches on the significant influence of the Israel lobby on U.S. policy and includes contributions from critics like Claire Daly and Brianna Joy Gray.
6/13/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John J. Mearsheimer : Netanyahu In Trouble
In an interview, Judge Andrew Napolitano and Professor John Mearsheimer discuss tensions between Russia and the US, noting symbolic Russian naval maneuvers near the US as challenging the Monroe Doctrine. They talk about the slim chances of a major conflict and the Biden administration's efforts to avoid it. Mearsheimer is skeptical of Western aid effectiveness in Ukraine and criticizes the US's long-term security guarantees to Ukraine, seeing them as encouraging Russian escalation. The discussion shifts to Gaza, with Mearsheimer suggesting the US seeks a ceasefire due to internal political pressures, but Netanyahu's disinterest could destabilize his government. The interview concludes with concerns over US-Israel relations, Netanyahu’s upcoming US Congress visit, and the overarching grim geopolitical climate.
6/12/2024. Daniel Davis / Deep Dive
John Mearsheimer: Political Winds Shift Against Ukraine War Support
In the interview titled "John Mearsheimer: Political Winds Shift Against Ukraine War Support," international relations theorist John Mearsheimer discusses the growing public dissent in Europe and the United States regarding the ongoing war in Ukraine. Mearsheimer notes that while the political center still holds power in Europe, right-wing parties are gaining traction, potentially leading to shifts in government and Ukraine policy in countries like France and Germany. In the United States, the upcoming presidential election could result in a significant shift in Western policy toward Ukraine, especially if Trump, who favors negotiation, wins. The conversation also covers Russia’s perspective, the potential for escalation, and the hypocrisy in the US and Israel's adherence to international law. Mearsheimer underscores the importance of realistic goals and the potential consequences of delusion in resolving the conflict.
6/19/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer : Bad Times for Israel/Ukraine/US
In "Prof. John Mearsheimer: Bad Times for Israel/Ukraine/US," Professor John Mearsheimer discusses potential conflicts and geopolitical tensions involving the US, China, Ukraine, Russia, and Israel. He predicts intense security competition between the US and China over regional dominance in Asia and criticizes US involvement in Ukraine, suggesting it could lead to disastrous outcomes. Mearsheimer attributes the conflict in Gaza to the influence of the Israel lobby and questions Israel's democratic claims. Highlighting escalating tensions between Israel and Hezbollah, he warns of a possible broader conflict drawing in the US. Overall, Mearsheimer advocates for diplomacy over military intervention to avoid catastrophic global consequences.
6/26/2024. Daniel Davis / Deep Dive
John Mearsheimer: U. S. Leaders Impotent - War Escalation Risk Grows
In the interview "John Mearsheimer: U. S. Leaders Impotent - War Escalation Risk Grows," John Mearsheimer and Daniel Davis discuss the potential for US foreign policy to exacerbate conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East. Mearsheimer argues that the US's actions, such as supplying advanced weaponry to Ukraine and unwavering support for Israel, are pushing these regions towards greater instability. He criticizes US policies as reckless and influenced by powerful lobbies, particularly the Israel lobby, which he believes emboldens Israeli leaders' aggressive tactics. Mearsheimer emphasizes the need for a more cautious and strategic approach to avoid wider conflicts involving Russia and other regional actors. Davis expresses concern over the lack of decisive US leadership and the risk of escalation, advocating for a more peaceful and stable foreign policy.
6/27/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer : Israel's Deep Troubles
In an interview with Judge Andrew Napolitano, political scientist John Mearsheimer discusses escalating global tensions, particularly focusing on US-Russia relations, the Ukraine conflict, and the Middle East. Mearsheimer claims the US is effectively at war with Russia by aiding Ukraine with intelligence and weaponry, though not engaging directly. He highlights the risks of unintended civilian casualties and the potential for a Russian response, but anticipates President Putin will avoid escalation with NATO. On Israel, Mearsheimer critiques Netanyahu's reliance on military force and the influence of donors like Sheldon Adelson, while expressing concern about internal divisions within Israeli society. He concludes by stating that while global war is unlikely due to nuclear deterrence, regional conflicts remain a significant threat.
7/3/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer : China In the Wings
In the "Prof. John Mearsheimer: China In the Wings" interview, Judge Andrew Napolitano and Professor John Mearsheimer discuss the geopolitical interplay among China, Russia, and the United States. Mearsheimer contends that China focuses more on internal issues and finds limited strategic advantages in exploiting global turmoil, despite rising tensions in the Spratly Islands and the US's increasing military presence in East Asia. He emphasizes Nixon's 1983 remarks on US-China relations impacting Taiwan's security, noting that current strained US-Russia relations have inadvertently brought Russia and China closer. Mearsheimer also critiques aggressive US policies, notably in Ukraine and Finland, for escalating global tensions and questions Israel's military capabilities and the influence of the Israel lobby on US policy. He ultimately calls for cautious and strategic decision-making to avoid conflicts.
7/11/2024. Judge Napolitano - Judging Freedom
Prof. John Mearsheimer: Ukraine Collapsing
In an interview with Judge Andrew Napolitano, Professor John Mearsheimer criticizes the Biden administration's rhetoric on Ukraine's NATO membership, arguing it provokes Russia and misleads Ukrainians. He contends that the US's own actions, particularly under the Bush administration, contributed significantly to the ongoing crisis. Mearsheimer expresses doubts about sustained US support for Ukraine, especially with the potential return of Trump, and warns of a possible collapse of the Ukrainian military due to Russia's superiority. Regarding Gaza, he condemns the high civilian death toll and Israeli military tactics, labeling them as genocide and war crimes, while criticizing Israeli propaganda efforts. Overall, Mearsheimer emphasizes the dire consequences of reckless policies and propaganda in both conflicts.
7/11/2024. Daniel Davis / Deep Dive
Prof John Mearsheimer NATO Declares Ukraine s Membership Irreversible
In a discussion between Danny Davis and renowned international relations theorist Professor John Mearsheimer, concerns are raised about the ongoing Ukraine war and the NATO summit. Mearsheimer critiques the US administration's rhetoric on Ukraine's NATO membership as propaganda directed at Ukraine, the American public, and Russia, while highlighting Ukraine's deteriorating military situation and Russia's growing strength. He points out internal divisions within NATO and doubts the success of peace negotiations without significant changes on the ground. Mearsheimer warns that continuous escalation risks a protracted conflict or even nuclear war and advocates for negotiations, though he doubts the willingness of the US and Ukraine to accept Russia’s terms. He underscores the necessity of a more realistic approach and the dangers of ignoring the complexities of the conflict.
5/29/2024. The Spectator
John Mearsheimer on Ukraine, Gaza & escalation dominance | SpectatorTV
In the interview "John Mearsheimer on Ukraine, Gaza & escalation dominance | SpectatorTV," Professor John Mearsheimer discusses the complexities of the conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza, expressing skepticism about Western strategies. He argues against Emmanuel Macron's stance on Ukraine striking Russian targets, citing risks of escalation. Mearsheimer contends that the West's involvement in Ukraine has been inadequate and that direct military intervention poses the risk of nuclear conflict. He also criticizes Western interference in domestic politics of other nations and highlights the contrasting challenges in the Gaza conflict, emphasizing that the West is unlikely to impose its will in either scenario. Finally, Mearsheimer underscores the growing influence of China and the need for a more realistic and less interventionist foreign policy from the West.
3/21/2024. Gita Wirjawan
John Mearsheimer: What's Behind Biden's Blank Check Support for Israel? | Endgame #179 (Luminaries)
In the interview titled "John Mearsheimer: What's Behind Biden's Blank Check Support for Israel? | Endgame #179 (Luminaries)," Professor John Mearsheimer provides a realist analysis of global conflicts and geopolitical dynamics. He discusses the Ukraine war, labeling the Ukrainian counteroffensive a failure and predicting a Russian victory, urging Ukraine to negotiate a settlement. Mearsheimer criticizes Israeli actions in Gaza and highlights the influence of the Israel lobby on US policy, doubting the feasibility of a two-state solution. He identifies China as the principal threat to the US, arguing that US involvement in other regions distracts from the necessity to contain China. Mearsheimer also underscores the enduring power of nationalism and realism over other ideologies, the limitations of multilateral institutions, and the growing risks of nuclear proliferation in a multipolar world.
11/17/2023. Lex Fridman
John Mearsheimer: Israel-Palestine, Russia-Ukraine, China, NATO, and WW3 | Lex Fridman Podcast #401
In the "John Mearsheimer: Israel-Palestine, Russia-Ukraine, China, NATO, and WW3 | Lex Fridman Podcast #401," John Mearsheimer discusses his realist perspective on international relations, emphasizing the central role of power and the anarchic nature of the global system. He highlights how states constantly seek to maximize their power for survival, identifying population size and wealth as crucial to military strength. Mearsheimer attributes the Ukraine war to NATO expansion, stressing Russia's security concerns, and views the Israeli-Palestinian conflict as driven by Israeli occupation of Palestinian territories. He also discusses the significant influence of the Israel lobby on US policy and examines the rise of China as a challenge to US hegemony, underscoring the potential for great power conflict.
3/26/2009. London Review of Books
The Lobby Falters
Charles Freeman was chosen to chair the National Intelligence Council, sparking controversy due to his critical views on Israeli policy. The pro-Israel lobby, led by AIPAC, accused Freeman of pro-Saudi bias and pressured Congress to oppose his nomination, leading to his resignation despite lack of evidence against him. The lobby aimed to control National Intelligence Estimates, especially regarding Iran's nuclear program, fearing Freeman's objective assessments. This affair highlighted the lobby's power in shaping American policy and silencing dissent. Freeman's defiant resignation statement denounced their tactics and suggested a potential shift towards more open dialogue on Israel.
1/1/2021. The National Interest
What now?
The United States faces substantial challenges, both domestically and internationally, that extend beyond the Trump administration. Biden inherits a polarized nation, damaged institutions, a rampant pandemic, and economic issues, with a narrow victory and a divided party limiting his mandate. Domestically, controlling the pandemic and addressing polarization should be primary goals, while internationally, Biden should focus on containing China's rise by strengthening Asian alliances and balancing relations with Russia. He must avoid unnecessary wars and recognize the limits of American power, particularly concerning Iran. Navigating these complexities skillfully could lead to significant changes under Biden's leadership.
9/1/2010. European Political Science
Why is Europe Peaceful Today?
In the article "Why is Europe Peaceful Today?", John Mearsheimer attributes Europe's post-Cold War tranquility to its enduring relationship with the United States, which continues to act as a stabilizing force through its substantial military presence and the maintenance of NATO. He argues that America's role as Europe's pacifier prevents conflict among NATO members and ensures regional stability. Mearsheimer disputes claims that the EU's influence or the democratic peace theory explains this peace, highlighting instead the importance of US dominance and Europe's support for American leadership. He identifies the future of America's imperial missions, its commitment to Europe, and the Russian-Ukrainian relationship as crucial factors for sustaining peace in Europe.
1/1/2014. The National Interest
America Unhinged
In "America Unhinged," John J. Mearsheimer criticizes the U.S. policy of global domination driven by a fearful national security elite. He argues that America's involvement in Egypt and Syria is misguided, as these nations are not vital strategic interests and intervention worsens the situation. Mearsheimer dismisses common justifications for intervention, including strategic importance, moral imperatives, combating terrorism, and maintaining credibility, asserting they are unfounded or counterproductive. He highlights the significant economic, human, and political costs of such policies, advocating for a focus on core strategic interests and a more restrained foreign policy that respects self-determination. Mearsheimer concludes that the U.S. should prioritize domestic issues over interventionist endeavors abroad.
5/18/2009. American Conservative
Saving Israel From Itself
The United States and Israel disagree over the establishment of a Palestinian state, with President Obama supporting a two-state solution while Prime Minister Netanyahu opposes it. Israel's actions suggest a continued pursuit of a "greater Israel," which could result in an apartheid state, resembling South Africa's past. The Israel lobby significantly influences US policy, ensuring unwavering support even when Israel's actions conflict with US interests, hindering conflict resolution, and contributing to terrorism. The article argues for the necessity of a two-state solution for peace and security, highlighting the hazards of a "greater Israel" scenario and urging a re-evaluation of US unconditional support. It concludes that Obama's chances of achieving a two-state solution are slim due to the lobby's influence, entrenched settlements, and lack of political will in Israel, and it calls for a more balanced US policy.
2/12/2009. Security Studies
Is It Love or The Lobby? Explaining America's Special Relationship with Israel
The article "Is It Love or The Lobby? Explaining America's Special Relationship with Israel" responds to Jerome Slater's review of "The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy" by Mearsheimer and Walt. Slater endorses many of the book's arguments but disagrees on points such as the definition and influence of the lobby. The authors counter that a broad definition of the lobby is appropriate and that its influence on U.S. policy is significant. They discuss the lobby's impact on elections, Congress, the Executive Branch, and issues like the Iraq War and Iran’s nuclear program. The authors maintain that the special U.S.-Israel relationship is driven primarily by the political power of the lobby, rather than by public support or strategic interests.
1/29/2009. London Review of Books
Responses to the War in Gaza
The Gaza war is likely to worsen Israeli-Palestinian relations, with continued settlement expansion and Palestinian confinement hindering a two-state solution. A "Greater Israel" may emerge as an apartheid state, leading to persistent Palestinian resistance and Hamas rocket attacks. While some Palestinians and Israeli Palestinians advocate for a binational state, this is feared by many Israelis and unlikely to be accepted. Apartheid is unsustainable, prompting continued resistance and escalating repression, and Israel may consider expelling Palestinians, a sentiment shared by many Jews in the country. Despite international condemnation, effective intervention by Western leaders, particularly the US, is improbable due to the Israel lobby's influence, resulting in ongoing conflict and potential for greater violence.
12/1/2010. The Chinese Journal of International Politics
The Gathering Storm: China’s Challenge to US Power in Asia
"The Gathering Storm: China’s Challenge to US Power in Asia" explores the transformative impact of China's rise on the Asia-Pacific region, which threatens US strategic primacy and could ignite a new era of security competition. The author contends that despite China's claims of peaceful intentions, its military modernization and historical context suggest otherwise. The US is expected to respond aggressively, heightening the conflict potential. The author draws historical parallels to emphasize that China's ambition to dominate the region will likely result in a balancing coalition against it, involving countries like India and Japan. Finally, Australia's strategic role and proximity to key maritime routes imply it will inevitably align with the US in countering China's regional aspirations.
11/17/2023. The Lex Fridman Podcast
John Mearsheimer: Israel-Palestine, Russia-Ukraine, China, NATO, and WW3 | Lex Fridman Podcast #401
In "John Mearsheimer: Israel-Palestine, Russia-Ukraine, China, NATO, and WW3 | Lex Fridman Podcast #401," political scientist John Mearsheimer discusses his theory of "offensive realism" and argues that the anarchic international system forces states to prioritize survival through power maximization. He attributes the Ukraine war to NATO's expansion, which threatened Russia, and sees the Israeli-Palestinian conflict as a consequence of Israeli occupation. Critiquing the influence of the Israel lobby on U.S. policy, he also views China as the major threat to U.S. dominance, advocating for a smart containment strategy. Mearsheimer predicts that the U.S. will remain strong due to its demographics and economic stability.
6/23/2022. The National Interest
The Causes and Consequences of the Ukraine Crisis
"The Causes and Consequences of the Ukraine Crisis" argues that the United States is primarily responsible for the Ukraine conflict due to its efforts to integrate Ukraine into NATO, which Russia viewed as an existential threat since the 2008 Bucharest NATO summit. Despite opposition from several policymakers and European leaders, the U.S. pushed for NATO expansion, leading to heightened tensions and the eventual 2008 war between Georgia and Russia. Following the 2014 Ukrainian crisis, Western efforts to train and arm Ukraine further increased Russian anxieties. The article asserts that continual rejection of Russia's security demands led to the 2022 invasion, and warns of potential escalation, including NATO involvement and nuclear conflict. The author criticizes the West for ignoring Russia’s security concerns, ultimately contributing to Ukraine's devastation.
Invalid Date. Palestine - Israel Journal of Politics, Economics, and Culture
The U.S. Should Act as an Honest Broker
In "The U.S. Should Act as an Honest Broker," John J. Mearsheimer argues that the Israel lobby's influence has negatively impacted US Middle East policy, particularly in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. He contends that this influence has prevented US presidents from compelling Israel to stop West Bank and Gaza settlement expansion, contrary to official US policy. Mearsheimer asserts that this support for Israeli policies has fueled anti-American sentiment and contributed to terrorism against the US. He explores future scenarios without a two-state solution and advocates for a shift in US policy, urging an even-handed approach that holds Israel accountable while supporting its pre-1967 borders.
3/1/2016. International Studies Review
Benign Hegemony
The article "Benign Hegemony" asserts that the dominance of American scholars in international relations (IR) is not problematic, despite claims of American-centrism. The diversity of scholars' nationalities complements the American-rooted theoretical frameworks and methods widely adopted globally. The field's openness allows new ideas to emerge and be debated, dismissing fears of a hegemonic discourse. While American dominance may wane as scholars from other countries contribute, the progress will build upon American foundational theories. Advancement in IR is a collaborative process, with each generation enhancing prior work.
1/1/2022. Foreign Affairs
A Rival of America's Making?: The Debate over Washington's China Strategy
In "A Rival of America's Making?: The Debate over Washington's China Strategy," John Mearsheimer argues that the U.S. engagement with China has failed, advocating for a policy of containment instead. He refutes claims that containment was impossible, attributing the resistance to the U.S. foreign policy establishment's preference for engagement. Mearsheimer posits that a powerful China threatens its Asian neighbors more than the U.S. and that cooperation with U.S. allies is essential to counter China's rise. He disagrees with views minimizing China's power and asserts that the economic growth of China will continue to pose regional and global challenges. Lastly, Mearsheimer underscores the real possibility of conflict due to intense security competition, criticizing the notion that China is a conservative power and emphasizing the need for the U.S. to prevent China's bid for regional hegemony.
1/1/2021. Foreign Affairs
The Inevitable Rivalry: America, China, and the Tragedy of Great-Power Politics
The end of the Cold War offered the U.S. a chance to shape the global order, but its policy of engaging China economically, hoping for democratic reforms, was a strategic error. Realism predicted that China's economic rise would challenge the U.S., leading to a dangerous new Cold War. The U.S. facilitated China's rapid ascent by granting it market access and advanced technology, contrary to realist advice. The current U.S.-China rivalry is riskier than the original Cold War due to China's closer power parity and heightened nationalism, compounded by numerous Asia-Pacific flashpoints. The U.S. now faces the complex task of managing this rivalry while deterring potential conflict.
1/1/2024. Foreign Affairs
Thinking like a State: What Makes Foreign Policy Rational? Response to Review
In the article "Thinking like a State: What Makes Foreign Policy Rational? Response to Review," the authors address Keren Yarhi-Milo's critique of their book "How States Think: The Rationality of Foreign Policy." Yarhi-Milo claims leaders often act irrationally, but the authors argue their definition of rationality includes both individual and collective dimensions, supported by credible theories and deliberative processes. They defend their book's analysis of ten foreign policy decisions as rational actions based on careful examination of secondary literature reflecting primary records. Though acknowledging occasional irrationality in state behavior, they refute Yarhi-Milo's examples, particularly regarding Putin's decision on Ukraine, and argue her psychological evidence does not convincingly demonstrate widespread irrationality in foreign policy. Ultimately, they contend rational behavior is common in international politics, offering expectations of rational interactions between the United States and China.
8/1/2010. American Conservative
Sinking Ship
Israel's recent actions, including the failed raid on the Gaza humanitarian flotilla, threaten its future and strained relations with the United States. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have repeatedly failed in recent conflicts, showing a reliance on military force without achieving decisive victories. The blockade of Gaza is seen as collective punishment rather than a security measure and Israel's refusal to negotiate a two-state solution risks creating an apartheid state. The U.S. is increasingly recognizing a divergence of interests and questioning the "special relationship" with Israel, as the pro-Israel lobby faces growing challenges. Israel's political shift to the right and lack of a significant pro-peace movement point to a bleak future, with increasing international condemnation and isolation.
1/1/2016. Foreign Affairs
The Case for Offshore Balancing: A Superior U.S. Grand Stategy,
John J. Mearsheimer and Stephen M. Walt's "The Case for Offshore Balancing: A Superior U.S. Grand Strategy" advocates shifting U.S. strategy from liberal hegemony to offshore balancing, arguing the current approach has been costly and ineffective. They propose a realist strategy focused on preserving U.S. dominance in the Western Hemisphere and deterring potential hegemons in key regions, with the U.S. intervening only when necessary. Offshore balancing would reduce military spending, lessen the resentment fueling terrorism, and preserve U.S. primacy by conserving strength. They criticize liberal hegemony and reject "selective engagement," advocating for containment of China in Asia, an end to U.S. military presence in Europe, and a return to offshore balancing in the Persian Gulf. The authors conclude that offshore balancing aligns with U.S. traditions and reduces risks and costs.
1/26/2009. American Conservative
Another War, Another Defeat
In "Another War, Another Defeat," John J. Mearsheimer argues that Israel's military offensive in Gaza, "Operation Cast Lead," is part of a long-standing strategy to create a "Greater Israel" and subjugate Palestinians, rather than a response to Hamas's rocket attacks. He contends that Israel's 2005 withdrawal from Gaza was a strategic move to isolate Palestinians, citing Israeli officials who acknowledged intentions to create a "human catastrophe" to force submission. Mearsheimer points to Israel's provocations during the ceasefire, including arrests and tightening blockades, as deliberate attempts to initiate conflict. He criticizes Israel's claims of minimizing civilian casualties and its efforts to control media narratives to conceal the true extent of destruction. Mearsheimer concludes that Israel's strategy is doomed to fail, predicting continued resistance and further damage to Israel's international reputation.
6/24/2009. International Relations
Reckless States and Realism
In "Reckless States and Realism," the article critiques Kenneth Waltz's theory of international politics, arguing that rejecting the rational actor assumption limits its explanatory power. Waltz's focus on international structure doesn't adequately explain state behavior or specific conflicts like World Wars I and II, necessitating a domestic politics theory. The article claims that Waltz's theory fails to convincingly predict international outcomes, especially due to the influences of great powers. Highlighting the competitive nature his theory underestimates, it suggests Waltz's greatest strength is its normative value rather than practical application. The U.S.-China relationship is used as a case study to demonstrate the dangers of a rising power acting recklessly, arguing for a more nuanced understanding inclusive of domestic politics.
12/12/2023. John's Substack
Death and Destruction in Gaza
"Death and Destruction in Gaza" condemns Israel's actions in Gaza, labeling them crimes against humanity, with the Biden administration's support. The article highlights the devastating effects on Palestinian civilians, including children and women, due to Israel's military operations and blockade, which restricts essential supplies. Israeli leaders' rhetoric is portrayed as dehumanizing with genocidal implications, emphasizing a policy of unrestrained warfare. The international response, especially from the U.S., is criticized for enabling these actions, posing a significant moral and ethical dilemma.
1/1/2014. Foreign Affairs
Why the Ukraine Crisis Is the West's Fault: The Liberal Delusions That Provoked Putin
In "Why the Ukraine Crisis Is the West's Fault: The Liberal Delusions That Provoked Putin," John J. Mearsheimer asserts that the Ukraine crisis is primarily due to NATO enlargement, EU expansion, and democracy promotion efforts which Russia views as direct threats to its security. He criticizes the West's liberal worldview for underestimating realpolitik and ignoring Russia's security concerns, leading to destabilization and Putin's annexation of Crimea. Mearsheimer suggests resolving the crisis by creating a neutral Ukraine, halting NATO expansion, and supporting Ukraine economically while limiting Western social engineering. He warns that continuing current policies risks exacerbating tensions and escalating conflicts, emphasizing the need for pragmatic diplomacy.
1/1/2019. International Security
Bound to Fail: The Rise and Fall of the Liberal International Order
The article "Bound to Fail: The Rise and Fall of the Liberal International Order" argues that the post-Cold War liberal international order is disintegrating due to inherent flaws and external pressures. It highlights that efforts to spread liberal democracy often incite nationalism, while the emphasis on international institutions and open borders conflicts with national sovereignty, causing political backlash. The economic consequences of hyperglobalization have hurt lower and middle classes, stoking anti-globalization sentiment. Additionally, China's rise has shifted the power balance, undermining the unipolarity crucial for the liberal order. The article predicts a future with a thin international order for cooperation and two thick bounded orders led by the U.S. and China, advising the U.S. to adopt realist strategies to maintain influence.
12/1/2018. Strategic Studies Quarterly
Conventional Deterrence: An Interview with John J. Mearsheimer
In "Conventional Deterrence: An Interview with John J. Mearsheimer," the author explains that conventional deterrence aims to prevent war by making the costs outweigh the benefits. He emphasizes the role of military strategy while acknowledging the influence of political factors. Mearsheimer argues that conventional warfare remains relevant despite nuclear weapons and believes strategic shifts now emphasize air and naval forces, particularly regarding China and the United States. He dismisses terrorism and regime type as significant factors in deterrence, highlights the unchanged determinants of deterrence, and stresses the importance of doctrine and strategy despite technological advancements. The potential for conventional warfare in space and cyber domains requires further research, but the primary concern remains the inherent instability of the international system and the differing commitments of states like China and the United States in conflicts like Taiwan.
1/4/2024. John’s Substack
Genocide in Gaza
The article, "Genocide in Gaza," discusses South Africa's significant application to the International Court of Justice (ICJ), accusing Israel of genocide against Palestinians in Gaza. It meticulously documents the atrocities committed by the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) since October 7, 2023, and presents concrete evidence of Israel's genocidal intent. The application frames these actions within a historical context of Israel's mistreatment of Palestinians. It contends that Israel's deeds go beyond war crimes, aiming to physically annihilate part of the Palestinian population. The author also criticizes the United States for its support of Israel and highlights the urgency for ICJ intervention despite the challenges of impacting powerful nations.
9/5/2013. European Journal of International Relations
Leaving theory behind: Why simplistic hypothesis testing is bad for International Relations
"Leaving Theory Behind: Why Simplistic Hypothesis Testing is Bad for International Relations" argues that the field of International Relations (IR) is moving away from theory development towards simplistic hypothesis testing, compromising its progress and relevance. The authors assert that robust theories with clearly defined concepts and grounded causal mechanisms are crucial for understanding the complex international system. They critique instrumentalism and argue that simplistic hypothesis testing leads to misspecified models, misleading measures, poor data, and a lack of explanatory power and knowledge accumulation. The shift is attributed to factors like the perceived stagnation of theoretical innovation, technological advancements, methodological emphasis, and academic professionalization. The authors call for a rebalancing of the field, prioritizing theory development to restore meaningful knowledge and policy contribution.
9/1/2015. The National Interest
What is America's Purpose?
The author argues that the US's efforts at global dominance through military interventions have caused instability and conflict, particularly in the Middle East and Ukraine. He asserts the US is already secure due to its geography, power, and nuclear arsenal and should focus on preventing regional hegemons like China in Asia. The US should concentrate on maintaining its dominance in the Western Hemisphere to ensure its security.
3/1/2014. Taiwanese Association of International Relations
Taiwan's Dire Straits
"Taiwan's Dire Straits" examines the challenges Taiwan faces amid China's rise. As China grows economically and militarily, it is poised to seek regional dominance, which threatens Taiwan's de facto independence. China views Taiwan as an integral part of its national identity and has vowed to unify it, using force if necessary. Despite U.S. support for maintaining the status quo, the article suggests that Taiwan's future remains precarious due to China's ambitions and increasing power. Taiwan's options include bolstering conventional deterrence or negotiating terms for unification, but its ultimate fate depends on global power dynamics and strategic decisions by Taiwan and its allies.
1/1/2021. Political Science and Politics
Liberalism and Nationalism in Contemporary America
The article "Liberalism and Nationalism in Contemporary America" examines the political crisis in the United States, where liberalism is under siege and nationalism is on the rise. Liberalism prioritizes individual rights, free markets, and a limited state, while nationalism emphasizes the group's importance, cultural cohesion, and a strong nation-state. The author argues that "unbounded liberalism" weakens national identity and triggers a nationalist backlash, exemplified by Donald Trump's election. This rise in nationalism reflects a deeper societal shift, and while liberalism remains, nationalism's staying power is crucial for maintaining societal cohesion. The Democratic Party’s reluctance to embrace nationalism leaves it vulnerable to Republican attacks, but nationalism’s presence benefits liberalism by providing necessary societal unity.
1/1/2013. Harvard Kennedy School
Leaving Theory Behind: Why Hypothesis Testing Has Become Bad for IR
The article "Leaving Theory Behind: Why Hypothesis Testing Has Become Bad for IR" argues that the field of International Relations is increasingly favoring simplistic hypothesis testing over essential theory development, a trend deemed problematic by authors John J. Mearsheimer and Stephen M. Walt. They claim that while hypothesis testing has its place, it is not generating cumulative knowledge and often results in flawed models, misleading measures, and poor data. The shift is attributed to factors like academia's professionalization, the accessibility of data and modern technology, and influential works like Designing Social Inquiry. Mearsheimer and Walt advocate for a return to theory-focused research to better understand international politics and craft effective policies. They express hope that scholars will eventually recognize the importance of theory and revert to prioritizing it in their studies.
1/1/2019. International Security
Bound to Fail
In "Bound to Fail," John J. Mearsheimer argues that the liberal international order, established post-Cold War, is doomed due to inherent flaws: the difficulty of spreading liberal democracy, erosion of sovereignty, and economic drawbacks of hyperglobalization. He cites unsuccessful U.S. interventions in the Middle East and the rise of nationalist movements in Europe as evidence. The ascent of China and the resulting multipolar world further undermine the unipolar liberal order. Mearsheimer predicts a future dominated by realist orders, notably a U.S.-China rivalry, and recommends the U.S. shift its foreign policy to balance power and manage economic institutions effectively, integrating Russia to counterbalance China.
11/27/2023. John's Susbstack
The Myth that Putin Was Bent on Conquering Ukraine and Creating a Greater Russia
Russia and Ukraine nearly reached a peace deal in early 2022, facilitated by Turkey and Israel, focusing on Ukraine's neutrality and non-NATO membership. Progress was derailed by US and UK pressure on Zelensky to abandon the talks, contradicting the Western narrative that Putin aimed to conquer Ukraine. This suggests Russia's main concern was NATO expansion, not territorial gain. The West's intervention raises questions about its commitment to peace and honest diplomacy, as continuing the talks might have secured Ukraine's neutrality and ended the war, potentially preserving more of Ukraine's territory.
3/23/2006. London Review of Books
The Israel Lobby
"The Israel Lobby" explores the powerful influence of the "Israel Lobby" on US Middle Eastern policy, highlighting its extensive impact across all government branches. It details the Lobby's tactics, such as exerting direct political pressure and shaping public discourse, to ensure unwavering US support for Israel. This influence has led to increased terrorism, failed peace efforts, unnecessary wars, moral compromise, and suppression of dissent. The article argues for a more open debate and balanced foreign policy that prioritizes US interests over those of Israel.
8/25/2011. Security Studies
Realists as Idealists
The article "Realists as Idealists" analyzes Charles Glaser's "Rational Theory of International Politics," highlighting its logical and sophisticated approach to state security maximization but noting its normative rather than explanatory nature. Glaser's theory, based on rational actor assumptions, prescribes ideal state actions but struggles with practical application as historical evidence shows great powers often act recklessly. Unlike defensive realists who distinguish between explaining international outcomes and state behavior, Glaser doesn't make this distinction, presenting challenges in persuading policymakers to adopt his views. Additionally, the theory's effectiveness is hindered by the "first-mover problem" and the lack of a mechanism to foster strategic state behavior, suggesting it remains more academic than actionable.
5/1/2016. Military Review
Defining a New Security Architecture for Europe that Brings Russia in from the Cold
John Mearsheimer argues that the Ukraine crisis stems from Western policies, particularly NATO expansion and democracy promotion, which have alienated Russia. He contends that the period of 1990-2008 saw European stability due to American military presence and a lack of Western threats to Russia. The shift began in 2008 when NATO indicated that Georgia and Ukraine would join, which Russia opposed, leading to conflict. Mearsheimer criticizes continued Western efforts to integrate Ukraine into the Western sphere, suggesting instead that Ukraine become a neutral buffer state to end NATO and EU expansion. He sees reverting to the pre-2008 status quo as essential to avoid further instability and conflict.
9/2/2023. John's Substack
Bound to Lose
Ukraine's counteroffensive, heavily anticipated by the West, has failed to make significant progress against Russian defenses. The blitzkrieg strategy hoped to rapidly advance and deliver a decisive blow but fell short because of Ukraine's ill-preparedness and Russia's strong defensive positioning. Launched under Western pressure in June 2023, the counteroffensive quickly bogged down, with Western confidence in its success gradually waning. The war has shifted into a protracted attrition battle, which heavily favors Russia due to its larger manpower and resources. Ukraine now faces a bleak military future with no diplomatic resolution in sight, possibly leading to a frozen conflict and continued territorial losses.
3/17/2010. London Review of Books
Taking Sides: Israel (and the lobby) against the US
In "Taking Sides: Israel (and the lobby) against the US," recent US-Israel tensions stem from Israel's expansionist policies in the Occupied Territories, marking a shift in the traditionally strong bilateral relationship. The Obama administration's open criticism of Israel's actions, including the demand to halt settlement building in East Jerusalem, signifies growing concern over the adverse impacts on US interests and security. This situation forces the influential pro-Israel lobby into a controversial position, potentially damaging its reputation and highlighting conflicting interests. Furthermore, the underlying issues, such as Israel's expansionist aims, suggest ongoing challenges and a possible erosion of the "special relationship" between the two countries.
6/23/2023. John's Susbstack
The Darkness Ahead: Where The Ukraine War Is Headed
In "The Darkness Ahead: Where The Ukraine War Is Headed," the author contends that a meaningful peace agreement in the Ukraine conflict is improbable, with Russia likely achieving an "ugly victory." The paper details the differing objectives and threat perceptions of Russia, Ukraine, and the West, underscoring Russia's view of NATO expansion as an existential threat and Ukraine's aspiration for EU and NATO integration. The war, mired in attrition, sees Russia holding the upper hand due to its artillery advantage. The author predicts a protracted conflict with severe consequences, including increased instability and a risk of nuclear escalation, while criticizing the West’s role in provoking the war through NATO expansion.